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2013

R. C. Brusca, Wiens, J. F. , Meyer, W. M. , Eble, J. , Franklin, K. , Overpeck, J. T. , and Moore, W. , “Dramatic response to climate change in the Southwest: Robert Whittaker’s 1963 Arizona mountain plant transect revisited”, Ecology and Evolution, vol. 3, pp. 3307-3319, 2013.

E. P. Maurer, Das, T. , and Cayan, D. R. , “Errors in climate model daily precipitation and temperature output: time invariance and implications for bias correction”, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, vol. 17, 2013.

E. J. Bernstein, Albano, C. M. , Sisk, T. D. , Crews, T. E. , and Rosenstock, S. , “Establishing Cool-Season Grasses on a Degraded Arid Rangeland of the Colorado Plateau”, Restoration Ecology, 2013.

J. Z. Drexler, Knifong, D. , Tuil, J. L. , Flint, L. E. , and Flint, A. L. , “Fens as whole-ecosystem gauges of groundwater recharge under climate change”, Journal of Hydrology, vol. 481, pp. 22-34, 2013.

L. E. Flint, Flint, A. L. , Thorne, J. H. , and Boynton, R. , “Fine-scale hydrologic modeling for regional landscape applications: The California Basin Characterization Model development and performance”, Ecological Processes, vol. 2, pp. 1-21, 2013.

D. R. Cayan, Tyree, M. , Kunkel, K. E. , Castro, C. , Gershunov, A. , Barsugli, J. , Ray, A. J. , Overpeck, J. T. , Anderson, M. , Russell, J. , Rajagopalan, B. , Rangwala, I. , and Duffy, P. , “Future Climate: Projected Average”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington D.C.: Island Press, 2013.

A. Gershunov, Rajagopalan, B. , Overpeck, J. T. , Guirguis, K. , Hughes, M. , Dettinger, M. D. , Castro, C. , Schwartz, R. E. , Anderson, M. , Ray, A. J. , Barsugli, J. , Cavazos, T. , and Alexander, M. , “Future Climate: Projected Extremes”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington, D.C.: Island Press, 2013.

H. E. Brown, Comrie, A. C. , Drechsler, D. M. , Barker, C. M. , Basu, R. , Brown, T. , Gershunov, A. , A. Kilpatrick, M. , Reisen, W. K. , and Ruddell, D. M. , “Human Health”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington D.C.: Island Press, 2013.

A. Thompson and Jackson, S. T. , “The human influence: Moral responsibility for novel ecosystems”, in Designer Biology: The Ethics of Intensively Engineering Biological and Ecological Systems., Lexington Books, 2013, pp. 125–150.

T. Das, Maurer, E. P. , Pierce, D. W. , Dettinger, M. D. , and Cayan, D. R. , “Increases in Flood Magnitudes in California Under Warming Climates”, Journal of Hydrology, vol. 501, 2013.

D. W. Pierce, Cayan, D. R. , Das, T. , Maurer, E. P. , Miller, N. L. , Bao, Y. , Kanamitsu, M. , Yoshimura, K. , Snyder, M. A. , and Sloan, L. C. , “The key role of heavy precipitation events in climate model disagreements of future annual precipitation changes in California”, Journal of Climate, vol. 26, pp. 5879-5896, 2013.

P. J. Neiman, F Ralph, M. , Moore, B. J. , Hughes, M. , Mahoney, K. M. , Cordeira, J. M. , and Dettinger, M. D. , “The landfall and inland penetration of a flood-producing atmospheric river in Arizona. Part I: Observed synoptic-scale, orographic, and hydrometeorological characteristics”, Journal of Hydrometeorology, vol. 14, pp. 460-484, 2013.

K. Lackstrom, Brennan, A. , Ferguson, D. , Crimmins, M. , Darby, L. , Dow, K. , Ingram, K. , Meadow, A. , Reges, H. , Shafer, M. , and Smith, K. , “The Missing Piece: Drought Impacts Monitoring”. 2013.

K. Lackstrom, Brennan, A. , Ferguson, D. , Crimmins, M. , Darby, L. , Dow, K. , Ingram, K. , Meadow, A. , Reges, H. , and Shafer, M. , “The missing piece: Drought impacts monitoring”, in Workshop report produced by the Carolinas Integrated Sciences & Assessments program and the Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 2013.

J. Franklin, Davis, F. W. , Ikegami, M. , Syphard, A. D. , Flint, L. E. , Flint, A. L. , and Hannah, L. , “Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: How fine scale do climate projections need to be?”, Global Change Biology, vol. 19, pp. 473-483, 2013.

T. C. Peterson, Jr, R. R. Heim, Hirsch, R. , Kaiser, D. P. , Brooks, H. , Diffenbaugh, N. S. , Dole, R. M. , Giovannettone, J. P. , Guirguis, K. , Karl, T. R. , Katz, R. W. , Kunkel, K. E. , Lettenmaier, D. , McCabe, G. J. , Paciorek, C. J. , Ryberg, K. R. , Schubert, S. , Silva, V. B. S. , Stewart, B. C. , Vecchia, A. V. , Villarini, G. , Vose, R. S. , Walsh, J. , Wehner, M. , Wolock, D. , Wolter, K. , Woodhouse, C. A. , and Wuebbles, D. , “Monitoring and understanding changes in heat waves, cold waves, floods, and droughts in the United States”, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. June, 2013.

S. D. Polade, Gershunov, A. , Cayan, D. R. , Dettinger, M. D. , and Pierce, D. W. , “Natural climate variability and teleconnections to precipitation over the Pacific-North American region in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models”, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 40, 2013.

E. Fleishman, Belnap, J. , Cobb, N. , Enquist, C. A. F. , Ford, K. , MacDonald, G. , Pellant, M. , Schoennagel, T. , Schmit, L. M. , Schwartz, M. W. , van Drunick, S. , Westerling, A. T. , Keyser, A. , and Lucas, R. , “Natural Ecosystems”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington D.C.: Island Press, 2013.

S. T. Jackson, “Natural, potential and actual vegetation in North America”, Journal of Vegetation Science, vol. 24, 2013.

S. T. Jackson, “Perspective: Ecological novelty is not new”, Novel Ecosystems: Intervening in the New Ecological World Order, pp. 61-65, 2013.

C. M. Albano, Angelo, C. L. , Strauch, R. L. , and Thurman, L. L. , “Potential effects of warming climate on visitor use in three Alaskan national parks”, Park Science, vol. 30, 2013.

A. Torregrosa, Taylor, M. D. , Flint, L. E. , and Flint, A. L. , “Present, future, and novel bioclimates of the San Francisco, California region”, PLoS ONE, vol. 8, p. e58450, 2013.

M. P. Hoerling, Dettinger, M. D. , Wolter, K. , Lukas, J. , Eischeid, J. , Nemani, R. , Leibmann, B. , and Kunkel, K. E. , “Present Weather and Climate: Evolving Conditions”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington, D.C.: Island Press, 2013.

D. W. Pierce, Das, T. , Cayan, D. R. , Maurer, E. P. , Miller, N. L. , Bao, Y. , Kanamitsu, M. , Yoshimura, K. , Snyder, M. A. , Sloan, L. C. , Franco, G. , and Tyree, M. , “Probabilistic estimates of future changes in California temperature and precipitation using statistical and dynamical downscaling”, Climate Dynamics, vol. 40, 2013.

M. D. Dettinger, “Projections and downscaling for 21st century temperatures, precipitation, radiative fluxes and winds for the Southwestern US, with focus on Lake Tahoe”, Climatic Change, vol. 116, 2013.

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