SW CASC Publications

Hung, M. J., & Williams, A. P. (2026). High-severity fire now dominant in California forests. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 123(26). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2532829123

Cruz, C., McCovey, K., Russell, G., David‐Chavez, D., Schneider, L., & Schultz, C. (2026). Barriers to Indigenous Fire Stewardship on Karuk Lands. Ecology and Evolution, 16(4). https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.73479

Madakumbura, G. D., Williams, A. P., Short, K. C., Moritz, M. A., Wang, B., & Juang, C. S. (2026). Evolving Fire Frequency in the Western United States and Its Links to Human Influence. Earth’s Future, 14(5). https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ef007077

Bailey, K., Hu, J., Meadow, A. M., McAfee, S. A., Gershunov, A., Enquist, C., Cayan, D., Manning, B. R. M., Fard, E., MacDonald, G., Garfin, G., Baker, M., Huntly, N., & Ambrose, R. F. (2026). Creating usable science: A Southwest Climate Adaptation Science Center study. Earth Stewardship, 3(2). https://doi.org/10.1002/eas2.70037

Ibsen, P. C., Ancona, Z. H., Pelton, E., Little, S., & Diffendorfer, J. E. (2026). Density dependence and habitat selection affect overwintering abundance of monarch butterflies at regional and site scales in California. Conservation Science and Practice, 8(4). https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.70253

Holmquist, J. R., Brown, L. N., Fard, E., Ambrose, R. F., Hargan, K. E., Hammond, D. E., Kemnitz, N. J., Smol, J. P., Thorne, K., & MacDonald, G. M. (2026). Tidal Wetland Soil Carbon Accumulation Rates for Coastal California. Scientific Data, 13(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-026-06935-8

Williams, A. P., Hansen, W. D., Juang, C. S., Abatzoglou, J. T., Radeloff, V. C., Wang, B., Hall, J., Buch, J., & Madakumbura, G. D. (2026). The Western United States Large Forest-Fire Stochastic Simulator (WULFFSS) 1.0: a monthly gridded forest-fire model using interpretable statistics. Geoscientific Model Development, 19(3), 1157–1191. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-1157-2026

Jennings, M. K., Hennessy, S., Enquist, C. A. F., & Molinari, N. (2026). A Climate-adapted Refugia Framework for Enhancing Ecosystem Resilience: Actionable Science for Forest Management in Southern California. Conservation Science and Practice, 8(1), e70114. https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.70114

Mozelewski, T. G., Mengelt, C. L., Powelson, K., Athearn, N., Grasso, R., Adams, A. J., & Morelli, T. L. (2026). Integrating Refugia Modeling and Decision Science to Support Climate-adaptive Conservation in the Sierra Nevada. Conservation Science and Practice, 8(1), e70170. https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.70170

Guirguis, K., Hatchett, B., Clemesha, R., Aguilera, R., Gershunov, A., Campbell, I., Cayan, D., & Merrifield, M. (2025). Compound atmospheric drivers of the catastrophic 2025 Los Angeles urban firestorm. Npj Natural Hazards, 2(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-025-00155-7

Williams, A. P., Juang, C. S., & Short, K. C. (2025). The Western United States MTBS-Interagency Database of Large Wildfires, 1984–2024 (WUMI2024a). Earth System Science Data, 17(12), 7359–7372. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-7359-2025

Madakumbura, G. D., Moritz, M. A., McKinnon, K. A., Williams, A. P., Rahimi, S., Bass, B., Norris, J., Fu, R., & Hall, A. (2025). Anthropogenic Warming Drives Earlier Wildfire Season Onset in California. Science Advances, 11(32), eadt2041. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adt2041

Wang, B., Madakumbura, G. D., Juliano, T. W., & Williams, A. P. (2025). Simulating the Potential for Invasive Grass Expansion to Alter Wildfire Behavior in Southern California With WRF‐Fire. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 130(8), e2024JG008574. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JG008574

Harris, M. P., Coop, J. D., Balik, J. A., McFarland, J. R., Parks, S. A., & Stevens‐Rumann, C. S. (2025). Aspen impedes wildfire spread in southwestern United States landscapes. Ecological Applications, 35(5). https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.70061

Ogle, K., Barber, J. J., Strange, B. M., Boone, R. D., Formanack, A. M., & Peltier, D. M. P. (2025). Identifying the Climate Conditions Associated With Extreme Growth States in Trees Across the Western United States. Global Change Biology, 31(7), e70317. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70317